Have you ever noticed how an ordinary person or company has one “lucky” random opportunity and then becomes increasingly successful over time, starting with that one opportunity? The success continues for the lucky one as their former peers continue to plod along without much to show. No one could have forecasted the lucky success at the beginning. The recipient of that lucky break is often mediocre. That mediocrity may never disappear but the success continues. As things compound to the extreme, great wealth and prestige may accumulate as a result. What is happening is that the first random success compounds…
Category: Alternative Investments
Where Have All The Startups Gone?
Small businesses and startups are traditionally the backbone and driver of the American economy. They are the primary creator of new jobs. They are the primary source of innovation. They are important. But the number of startups being created in the USA seems to be declining. In 1985, 13% of all companies in the USA were less than two years old. In 2014, they were only about 8%. The number of people working in companies less than two years old declined from 9% of the workforce to below 5%. This is happening in every industry, not just technology. It is…
The Problem With Investing In Super Deep High Tech
Technology continues to move forward and what was once leading edge often becomes ordinary. For instance, technology advancements such as high-resolution portable screens and even websites were once leading edge and risky. Many made boatloads of money from investing in these technologies at the earliest stage, most of these investors did not. That is why it is sometimes called ‘the bleeding edge” of investing. Now, so-called “deep tech” involves reusable space rockets, cryptocurrency, next-gen solar cells, many biotech applications, artificial intelligence, and so on. Some of the efforts in these areas could be phenomenally successful, most will not. But the…
Why Do Some Cities Have More Startups?
The fortunes of Silicon Valley and the Tech Industry goes up and down. And yes, things are always changing. But this much could be said with good confidence. The tech scene in my life-time has probably been one of the greatest wealth generators in the history of mankind. This includes not just California. Also the other innovation hubs including Austin, Boston, New York, Seattle, and so on. Sadly, my long-time home of Chicago does not make that list. I’ve done business in all those places and believe me, the difference between Illinois and the rest is palatable. Just visit these…
Venture Capital and Avoiding Human Bias
Here are some thoughts on Venture Capital or early-stage investing. As readers of my blogs know, Alteris LLC has had professional Venture Capital firms as clients. We have acted as business valuators, but also in the role of “operating partners” to some of these firms. This situation has allowed us to observe best-practices in these early-stage investment firms. Venture Capital and other types of investing is a competitive and often brutal activity. In a typical VC fund, a small number of investments typically account for a large portion of returns. The simple fact is that the majority of investments do…
Three Deadly Sins of Startups
If you have been around the venture capital industry for a while, you will know the “three deadly sins” VCs look to avoid in a potential new early-stage investment. Standard questions VCs ask entrepreneurs often focus on these. You hear this over and over from investment partners at these firms. I’ve worked extensively with an international venture network, and sure enough – it is a focus. Here are the three: 1) The founder (me!) must be the boss, always and forever 2) Too many products, no focus 3) Not enough capital Smart founders know these are hot issues for VC…
How To Design A New Market Entry Program
Any new market entry program should be designed to increase your chances for success in the North American marketplace. To succeed, develop individualized strategies based on proven strategy techniques and policies. Then it is necessary to support those entry strategies to successfully implement. Due to the sheer size and diversity of the USA (and North America), a company attempting a market entry cannot simply and without local market knowledge choose a strategy, operational business platform and location. Many factors must be considered, including real estate, the labor market, the regulatory environment, local taxation, operational logistics, manufacturing and sourcing potential, proximity…